The bootstrap loop

How OmenMarketMaker can bootstrap an unbuyable court

A court nobody can buy still needs customers. OmenMarketMaker is designed to be the first: it buys real resolution work from DemoThemis, and every carefully checked outcome helps the independent court prove juror quality to applications beyond prediction markets.

1. The loop

OmenMarketMaker starts the flywheel

A new court faces a cold start: without a track record nobody hires it, and without customers it never builds one. OmenMarketMaker breaks that circle. Every market it runs buys one court case at the court's full price, and every finished case adds measured evidence about the jurors: the record that wins customer two.

A market needs a rulingthe crowd funds the exact court fee
DemoThemis is paidits own pricing funds the bench
The case tests the jurorsappeals, blinded audits, later evidence
The record wins customersmore demand, more cases
One possible bootstrap loop. A customer-provider relationship creates early demand without joining the products' economics.

2. Why a market first

A prediction market is the perfect first customer

Most customers would file a case, take the ruling, and move on. A prediction market will not, and that is exactly what a young court needs. Real money rides on opposite answers, so when a panel gets one wrong, the losing bettors do not shrug and walk away. They pay for a fresh, larger panel and make the court look again.

That fight is what makes the loop work while juror quality is still unproven. Suppose the early bench is mediocre. Bettors with conviction still profit by appealing: each appeal panel is larger and more accurate than the last, so the side that is actually right gains ground in every round. Before funding an appeal, each side runs one simple judgment: its conviction that it would win another round, times the money it stands to take, against the price of the next ruling set. A side stops paying the moment that bet stops being profitable. Until then, both sides keep putting up appeal bonds, and every bond is a full court fee: paid juror work and a graded quality test at the exact moment the bench needs both. Low early accuracy does not starve the court. Adversarial customers turn it into extra revenue and extra training.

Two convinced sides, one bench in training
What this is and how to use it

What it is: two bettors disagree, and either can pay for a bigger jury. How to use it: set juror accuracy, the money at stake, and each side’s conviction, then press Watch both sides. A side keeps appealing while it expects to profit, and every appeal it funds pays the court and tests the bench.

Court earned $0 every bond in the fight funds and trains the bench
62%
$20k
YES bettors holds $10,000
80%
now 80%
NO bettors holds $10,000
60%
now 60%
Ruling sets
Final ruling
Ending

See how automatic mode appeal structures work in the Fortify The Court Chapter

3. What a market buys

Each market buys one case at the court's own price

When a market becomes eligible for resolution, OmenMarketMaker calculates the exact court fee by fixed rules. Anyone can chip in toward that amount (one wallet alone, or many together), and the contribution that completes it pays DemoThemis and opens the case in one transaction. All outcome collateral stays in OmenMarketMaker escrow while the jury works, and OmenMarketMaker's market fee, margin, and treasury never mix with the court's money.

The fee is assembled from published parts

At request time, the versioned fee policy adds four parts: processing cost, required panel compensation, a reward-pool contribution, and a capped operations charge. The reward-pool contribution applies only while the pool sits below its published funding target, and it falls to zero at target. Operations can never exceed the approved public budget or the per-case cap. Contributors advance the complete fee before any juror is selected.

Calculate a typical 15-seat court fee
500
30 min
2,000
Typical court fee
Required panel pay
Reward-pool contribution
Direct pay per active juror

Illustrative case with an ordinary expected workload at 70% reward-pool coverage. The fee also includes $3 processing and the smaller of the approved monthly operations budget per case or its $100 cap. The complete quote rises with demand and must be funded in full before the case can open.

As case volume rises, the fee pays more when each eligible juror carries more work, and less when supply catches up. Pricing moves only between scheduled policy updates: the case's assessed workload and exact fee are set the moment the resolution request is accepted.

Every ending has one fixed rule for the fee

Final YES or NO fee repaid

Contributors are paid back from market backing, each exactly what they put in, before winning claims and the Omen fee are paid.

Final insufficient information fee spent on the review

A ruling that still stands after every funded appeal leaves the fee with the court, and no Omen fee is charged. What happens next depends on the clock:

Time left

Before the final fallback time, a new funding panel can open after the cooldown. The original backing stays unchanged and new YES or NO tokens remain closed to minting.

Time up

At the final fallback time, the market voids instead. Each side's backing returns to its own holders.

Every way a funded case can end, and what each ending does to the fee.

One rule guards the whole path: if the exact fee would be at least the entire pool, no bond is accepted, no case opens, and the market follows its precommitted cancellation rule.

4. What a case proves

Every completed case extends the quality record

The quality system grades jurors with three kinds of evidence: appeal outcomes, blinded audits of difficult decisions after reversals, and later independent results (a final score, a timestamped price, a delivery record, an election). Each signal is weighted by how much it actually reveals before it touches a juror's record.

From completed case to quality evidence
01 Fix the standard

The question, decision criteria, and evidence rules are set before anyone is drawn, so every juror decides the same task.

02 Weigh every signal

Appeals, blinded audits after reversals, and later independent evidence count in proportion to how much they reveal.

03 Update private histories

The outcome adjusts each juror's private record without exposing how any individual voted.

Every final case creates a private record, whatever kind of question it settled: a market outcome, a delivery specification, or a community standard. A later public answer adds independent confirmation when reality supplies one. A case without an external answer still contributes appeal and audit evidence when challenged. As volume grows, more cases reach one of those tests, and the court's evidence strengthens across more kinds of judgment.

5. The payoff

A stronger court attracts the next customer

OmenMarketMaker pays only for the cases it actually sends, and the measured results of those cases become the performance record DemoThemis can show every application after it.

  1. One paying customer

    Service fees pay jurors, every completed case extends one shared private quality history, and public verdicts with privacy-preserving proofs make that history verifiable without exposing jurors.

  2. Every kind of case

    Anyone can submit a well-defined case and fund its jurors: escrowed work, creator payouts, marketplace refunds, governance questions, and stand-alone disputes.

  3. The default court

    Signed ruling receipts and aggregate accuracy signals let a new app verify the court's record instead of rebuilding a support desk.

Each stage adds both demand and evidence, and the neutral rules that made the first verdicts useful never change.