The bootstrap loop

How OmenMarketMaker can start a shared court

A court nobody can buy still needs customers. OmenMarketMaker is designed to be the first: it buys real resolution work from DemoThemis, and every carefully checked outcome helps the independent court prove juror quality to applications beyond prediction markets.

1. The loop

OmenMarketMaker starts the flywheel

A new court faces a cold start: without a track record nobody hires it, and without customers it never builds one. OmenMarketMaker breaks that circle. Every market it runs buys one court case at the court's full price, and every finished case adds measured evidence about the jurors: the record that wins customer two.

A market needs a rulingthe crowd funds the exact court fee
→
DemoThemis is paidits own pricing funds the bench
→
The case tests the jurorsappeals, blinded audits, later evidence
→
The record wins customersmore demand, more cases
↻
One possible bootstrap loop. A customer-provider relationship creates early demand without joining the products' economics.

2. Why a market first

A market brings cases and reasons to challenge them

Bettors have money riding on different answers. Someone who disputes a ruling can fund the next appeal in the route chosen before the case began. That payment buys fresh jury work and reserves money for possible audits.

  1. Market requests a rulingContributions complete the initial court payment.
  2. A disputed ruling can be appealedContributors fund the next agreed jury in time.
  3. The case becomes finalThe market settles. Qualifying appeal results and audits update juror records.

More appeals do not guarantee a correct answer, and an unchallenged ruling is not a quality grade for every juror. See when the route ends and audits begin.

3. What a market buys

Each market buys one case at the court's own price

When a market becomes eligible for resolution, OmenMarketMaker calculates the exact court fee by fixed rules. Anyone can chip in toward that amount (one wallet alone, or many together), and the contribution that completes it pays DemoThemis and opens the case in one transaction. All outcome collateral stays in OmenMarketMaker escrow while the jury works, and OmenMarketMaker's market fee, margin, and treasury never mix with the court's money.

The fee is assembled from published parts

At request time, the versioned fee policy adds four parts: processing cost, required panel compensation, a reward-pool contribution, and a capped operations charge. The published formula keeps contributing to the pool regardless of its balance. Operations can never exceed the approved public budget or the per-case cap. Contributors advance the complete fee before any juror is selected.

Calculate a typical 15-seat court fee
500
30 min
2,000
Typical court fee
…
Required panel pay
…
Reward-pool contribution
…
Direct pay per active juror
…

Illustrative assumptions, not approved prices: a pool contribution of 30% of panel pay, $3 processing and a $100 operations cap. This example shows how demand can change a quote. The full dynamic formula and its operating cap still need approval. See the selected history weighting.

As case volume rises, the fee pays more when each eligible juror carries more work, and less when supply catches up. Market rates can change between one-minute pricing batches under the same published formula. Notice applies to changing that formula, not ordinary demand changes. Filing fixes the rule. Each later appeal locks its quote when its funding window opens. See the demand calculation and payment boundaries.

Every ending has one fixed rule for the fee

Final YES or NO fee repaid

Contributors are paid back from market backing, each exactly what they put in, before winning claims and the Omen fee are paid.

Final insufficient information fee spent on the review

A ruling that still stands after every funded appeal leaves the fee with the court, and no Omen fee is charged. What happens next depends on the clock:

Time left

Before the final fallback time, a new funding panel can open after the cooldown. The original backing stays unchanged and new YES or NO tokens remain closed to minting.

Time up

At the final fallback time, the market voids instead. Each side's backing returns to its own holders.

Every way a funded case can end, and what each ending does to the fee.

One rule guards the whole path: if the exact fee would be at least the entire pool, no bond is accepted, no case opens, and the market follows its precommitted cancellation rule.

4. What a case proves

Every completed case extends the quality record

Every completed case extends service history. The Beta calculation changes only for a final appeal confirming a juror’s vote against their own round, or a final Careless audit after challenges. One case contributes once. Research helps auditors check the work, but does not directly change the score.

From completed case to quality evidence
01 Fix the standard

The question, decision criteria, and evidence rules are set before anyone is drawn, so every juror decides the same task.

02 Count only final scoring results

An appeal confirmation adds one confirmation. A final Careless audit adds one Careless result. Reasonable and uncertain audits add neither.

03 Update the same juror history

Update the juror’s private history. Prove their quality band without revealing their votes or earnings.

A published price, delivery record or election result may help an auditor assess the juror’s original work. It is not an automatic answer key for Beta. Unchallenged majority agreement is not a quality test. The audit explanation shows what counts and who pays.

5. The payoff

A stronger court attracts the next customer

OmenMarketMaker pays only for the cases it actually sends, and the measured results of those cases become the performance record DemoThemis can show every application after it.

  1. One paying customer

    Service fees pay jurors, every completed case extends one shared private quality history, and public verdicts with privacy-preserving proofs make that history verifiable without exposing jurors.

  2. Every kind of case

    Anyone can submit a well-defined case and fund its jurors: escrowed work, creator payouts, marketplace refunds, governance questions, and stand-alone disputes.

  3. The default court

    Signed ruling receipts and aggregate accuracy signals let a new app verify the court's record instead of rebuilding a support desk.

Each stage adds both demand and evidence, and the neutral rules that made the first verdicts useful never change.